Investment research on the markets outlook, covering the global economy and all major asset classes. Most articles in this section naturally cover the short-term (e.g. 3-12 month) outlook for economies and markets. However, the most downloaded research tends to be white papers which are educational, theoretical or long-term - more "evergreen" in nature. For instance BofAML's Transforming World Atlas looks at the global allocation of resources, while a Society of Actuaries paper surveys the literature on the impact of...
baby boomer retirements on future equity prices. Also popular are papers which forecast long-term investment returns over a five or ten-year time horizon. Some papers taken an even longer perspective, looking back on hundreds of year of data to draw conclusions, perhaps about commodity supercycles or long-term interest rates. These academic studies on the nature of investment markets are illuminating, and serve to complement the shorter-term perspective addressed in most investment research. In terms of the regular investment reports, the most viewed papers include the JP Morgan Guide to the Markets, the Goldman Sachs Global Equity Outlook and Standard Life's Global Outlook. To filter these papers by market interest (e.g. global economics, strategy, fixed income etc) please make the appropriate selection from the main menu.
The coronavirus pandemic of 2020/21 may have fundamentally altered the relationship between workers and their office environments. For the first time in recorded history, a devastating virus forced countries across the globe to mandate lockdowns. Entire working populations had to remain at home, and in many cases businesses…
Content that Converts: Engaging and influencing institutional investors
The latest report from Savvy Insights provides asset management marketing and client-facing teams with specific data, practical tips, upcoming content trends and topic forecasts for engaging institutional investors. Check out the 10 Content…
Investors have a bond problem. Every crisis brings new lows in government bond yields and predictions of the end of bonds as an asset class. Investors are now questioning the logic of hedging expensive equities with expensive bonds, but is there really a viable alternative?
The pandemic’s arc and its impact on political and policy developments are resetting expectations and will continue to define the investment landscape. The interplay of these three critical fronts – the pandemic, politics, and policy – will have implications for portfolio allocations extending far beyond the coming year,…
The progress that sustainable investment has made in recent years has been stunning. It has gone from a niche investment style to a mainstream multi-trillion dollar industry. The rise of sustainability has produced some stunning statistics of its own – from wind turbines the size of skyscrapers to plans to create a Great…
Overall, real assets have weathered the volatility of 2020 reasonably well. Investors continue to turn to real assets to help them achieve their investment goals and objectives – whether for income generation, capital growth, liability matching, or portfolio diversification. That said, making an allocation to real assets…
2020 was the year of the pandemic, instant recession, and US election drama, while UBS AM think 2021 is poised to be the year of vaccines and a more durable, comprehensive economic reopening. Dive inside their Panorama report to see what their attention is focused on for 2021.
The world changed in March 2020. Almost overnight, the COVID-19 pandemic strained health care systems to the breaking point, put much of the global economy on an indefinite hiatus and radically reshaped societal norms and interactions. For businesses everywhere, these events are undermining established assumptions while…
In PGIM’s new Megatrends paper, they propose an actionable climate-change agenda that addresses both hidden portfolio vulnerabilities and potential opportunities in the transition to a lower-carbon world. PGIM's research draws on the insights of more than 40 PGIM investment professionals, 30 leading policymakers, scientists…
After a year where many real asset markets were rocked by COVID-19, our investment teams have set out their expectations for 2021 and beyond. Aviva Investors hope their Real Assets House View will help investors navigate this dynamic and challenging landscape. Not everyone will agree with the assumptions made or the…
NN IP's outlook presents three potential scenarios for 2021. First is their base case, which they call “cruise control”, followed by two alternative scenarios: “full throttle”, which describes a supercharged global recovery, and “idling engine”, in which the lingering Covid-19 pandemic causes lasting damage to the economy.…
Amundi analyze the portfolio choices of approximately 913,000 active participants in employee saving plans in France. Looking at the cross-section of equity exposure, we find that the inclusion of responsible equity options in the menu of available funds is associated with a 2.1% higher equity allocation by plan participants…
The UK is the latest country to accelerate plans to develop hydrogen as part of its push to reach net zero. But it is not the first time hydrogen has attracted attention – it has been trumpeted by the scientific community as a possible wonder fuel for around a century. So, what’s changed now?
The last 30 years have seen a steady growth and acceptance of alternative asset classes in institutional portfolios as investors seek diversified sources of income and return. These asset classes are sometimes called illiquid or private asset classes because one important characteristic is that they are not publicly listed…
Wellington Management's 2021 Investment Outlook Hub, updated to now include all 6 of their 2021 Outlook papers collated into one place.
Papers feature a wide range of asset classes including both mainstream (Economic, Fixed Interest and Equities) and those more specialist areas of investing, including ESG and…
Growth opportunities are plentiful in emerging markets thanks to strong secular tailwinds — but they are company-specific. Identifying strong growers within a changing opportunity set is key to unlocking the potential of this asset class, suggests Jennison Associates.
Investment regime shifts are rare, critically important, and have widespread consequences for investors’ portfolios. The current extremes in deflation, inequality and debt mean the conditions are right for several major shifts over the next decade.
Overall Winner of Savvy Investor Awards - Best Investment Paper 2020
The recovery from COVID-19 in Asia is a story of two tales. Most Northern Asian markets have now recouped initial losses incurred in early 2020, while less-developed Asian countries continue to suffer as they struggle to contain the virus. But although it’s hard to escape headlines and concerns about the longer-term impact…
Trends and thematic investment strategies have enjoyed quite some popularity over the past few years. This can largely be explained by their attractive narrative and – in some cases – good short-term investment results. Yet, not all trends and thematic strategies are born equal. Some offerings are clearly better than others…
In recent years, global equities had slightly outpaced market forecasts for lower equity returns. Then the COVID-19 pandemic hit the global economy, putting an end to the 10- year bull market. Equity markets have now started to recover, but the pandemic introduced and exacerbated challenges that we expect to subdue financial…
