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Global Investment Outlook - October 2018

  • Posted by: ,  Chief Executive
  • 22 October 2018
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Macro Themes and Market Outlooks in 2018

Why not have a good stretch, take a breath of fresh air, and fall into this list of the best macroeconomic and market outlook-oriented papers on Savvy Investor this October?  

Aside from the traditional monthly or quarterly outlook take, we've included FTSE Russell's foray into the multi-decade transition of the Chinese economy, Macquarie's musings about emerging markets, and Invesco's insight into IR 4.0.

october outlook pumpkins

Monthly Market Monitor (Eaton Vance, Oct 2018)
Delve deep into fixed income yield and spread analysis, S&P sector valuations, and asset class performance with Eaton Vance's Monthly Market Monitor.

Lower Range to Drive Stealth Bull Market in Bonds (PGIM Fixed Income, Oct 2018)
(For compliance reasons, this paper is only accessible in the United States)
Robert Tipp, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Global Bonds at PGIM Fixed Income gives an update on interest rates - certain evidence supports a 'low for longer' thesis for rates in developed markets. 

Multi-Asset Outlook 4Q2018 — How late in the cycle are we? (Wellington Management)
Wellington shares their country-specific and regional views on global equities, as  well as their outlook for commodities and credit. 

Industrial Revolution 4.0: Ghosts of disruption past, present and future (Invesco, Oct 2018)
The fourth industrial revolution (IR 4.0) and its transitional challenges may be well underway.  Automation and AI are two aspects of IR 4.0 that effectively substitute capital for labour and could have material economic consequences.

Q4 2018 Outlook & Review (QMA)
QMA's Q4 outlook looks towards the potential clouds on the horizon for Q4 of 2018. Uneven GDP growth, rising inflation, trade conflicts, and a disparity between US and EM equity returns are just some of the themes that are covered.

EM Roundtable: Is the emerging market story over? (Macquarie IM, Sep 2018)
Macquarie portfolio managers share their thoughts about emerging market underperformance in 2018, as well as their outlook for the asset class.

BlackRock's Global Investment Outlook Q4 2018
(For compliance reasons, this paper is only accessible in the United States)
BlackRock's Q4 outlook explores the preference of equities over bonds, country-specific EM shocks, and several other investment themes affecting global markets. 

Understanding China's Economic and Market Developments (FTSE Russell, Sep 2018)
China's addition to global benchmarks has been driven by the development of its markets. FTSE Russell examines the extraordinary transition of the Chinese economy over the past 50 years.

BlackRock's Geopolitical Risk Dashboard
(For compliance reasons, this paper is only accessible in the United States)
BlackRock’s latest iteration of their Geopolitical Risk Dashboard highlights geopolitical risk arenas such as escalating trade wars, deteriorating US-China relations, and increased Middle Eastern tensions. 

Q4 Outlook and CIO View: How emerging markets suffer from global trade wars (DWS, Oct 2018)
(For compliance reasons, this paper is only accessible in the United Kingdom)
In their 36-page quarterly CIO view, DWS Asset Management discusses their multi-asset outlook for Q4 2018. The featured article examines how EM countries have become victims of the global trade war.

Emerging Markets Outlook (Manulife AM, Oct 2018)
(For compliance reasons, this paper is only accessible in the EMEA region)
Manulife presents their emerging markets outlook for equities and debt investors.

House View 2018 Q4 (Aviva Investors)
Aviva's 19-page outlook paper contains insight from their House View Forum, as well as 5 key themes that they envision affecting markets over the next 2 to 3 years. 

Barings Quarterly Review & Outlook, Oct 2018
Barings discusses their latest views on the macroeconomic trends and market-specific details that are driving activity within equities, fixed income, alternatives, and other asset classes.

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